It ain't gonna last
- Sunday, August 13 2006 @ 09:26 AM CST
- Contributed by: filbert
- Views: 1,456
Everybody knows that the UN cease-fire in Lebanon is doomed. Hezbollah and most of the Islamic Middle East has not foresworn their clear goal of wiping out the State of Israel. They won't. The war will continue, until either Israel is destroyed, or the Islamists give up their genocidal dreams of a Middle East free of the "taint" of Judaism.
Israel is rushing to complete a de-facto occupation of Lebanon south of the Litani River before the doomed cease-fire takes hold on Monday morning.
But even now, the Lebanese cabinet is balking at moving the Lebanese Army south into Hezbollahland. It's unsurprising that the sticking point is Hezbollah's refusal to be disarmed. This stance should surprise no one.
What will happen from here? Looking into the crystal ball requires only an abiding faith in the unerring ability of mortal man to do the wrong thing:
Hezbollah will break the cease-fire and immediately blame Israel. Most of the usual suspects in international diplomacy will side with a barbarian horde (Hezbollah) over a recognized state (Israel). We all know that.
Israel will respond, possibly by occupying all of Lebanon, again, possibly by raizing all of southern Lebanon completely uninhabitable.
Hezbollah and their state sponsors Iran and Syria will retaliate. The nature of that retaliation has the potential of setting off a regional or even a world war.
Nobody wants it, but nobody will be able to stop it.
It's not 1936. It's closer to 1914.
Israel is rushing to complete a de-facto occupation of Lebanon south of the Litani River before the doomed cease-fire takes hold on Monday morning.
But even now, the Lebanese cabinet is balking at moving the Lebanese Army south into Hezbollahland. It's unsurprising that the sticking point is Hezbollah's refusal to be disarmed. This stance should surprise no one.
What will happen from here? Looking into the crystal ball requires only an abiding faith in the unerring ability of mortal man to do the wrong thing:
Hezbollah will break the cease-fire and immediately blame Israel. Most of the usual suspects in international diplomacy will side with a barbarian horde (Hezbollah) over a recognized state (Israel). We all know that.
Israel will respond, possibly by occupying all of Lebanon, again, possibly by raizing all of southern Lebanon completely uninhabitable.
Hezbollah and their state sponsors Iran and Syria will retaliate. The nature of that retaliation has the potential of setting off a regional or even a world war.
Nobody wants it, but nobody will be able to stop it.
It's not 1936. It's closer to 1914.